My analysis is perfectly simple. Based on PNB's prospectus, ASB's investment is 29.35% and 23.84% in Sime Darby and Maybank respectively. That's almost 53.19% of all ASB holdings.
Above is Maybank's performance this year. With it's fiasco in Indonesia earlier and also the credit crunch going on around the world now, no wonder the shares drop.
Sime Darby is easy, price of CPO dropped massively. You're lucky to even get 7% is all I can say.
Till next year when dividends are announced again.
2 comments:
Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe that the position taken by ASB is one that is defensive. Hence, any share movement from the fiasco would not be impacted or if any would be marginal. Besides, I believe that ASB has been conservative even when it can give comparable dividends as the conventional unit trusts. SO, we can expect a fairly similar dividend level in 2009.
Good analysis. What I see is PNB defending between 7-8sen in good or in bad times.
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